Input | Output |
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Link | Youtube |
Published | 2024/02/25 |
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Status | article incomplete |
Beau says:
Beau breaks down the Republican primary in South Carolina, revealing how Trump's low party support might lead to Biden winning, debunking the myth that primary winners ensure general election success.
Political analysts, Republican voters
Insight into the potential impacts of the Republican primary results on the upcoming general election.
#RepublicanPrimary #SouthCarolina #Trump #Biden #ElectionInsights
Well, howdy there, internet people, it's Beau again.
So today, we are going to talk
about the Republican primary in South Carolina.
And we're gonna talk about who the winner is,
because it may not be obvious at first glance this time.
I mean, you can look at the numbers,
but there's a little bit more to it this time.
There's a lot of Republican dreams riding on this.
At time of filming, 84% reporting, Trump has 59.9% of the vote.
So he's winning, he's ahead.
And Haley has pretty much everything else.
So the thing is, while 59.9% certainly is being ahead in this race, it's not really
winning though, is it?
Not when you're trying to cast yourself as the beloved presumptive nominee who really
should be treated as the incumbent.
Barely half your own party supports you.
Those aren't good numbers.
Not if you're trying to cast yourself that way.
Just makes you look more of a loser because you're not meeting your own hype.
Now for Haley, this isn't great either.
Those are good numbers for her, pulling 40% or so.
But this is also her state.
If she was going to pull an upset, it should have happened here.
Doesn't look like it's going to.
So who won?
Biden.
Biden won the Republican primary.
Because by the way it looks here, the candidate who is most likely to be able to beat him
isn't the one that they'd run.
low enthusiasm candidate within the Republican Party looks like he's going to get the nomination.
If you are the person being treated as the incumbent, the presumptive nominee, and barely
half your own party supports you, you are low enthusiasm.
That doesn't drive people to the polls, makes it more likely that Biden wins.
And that's what's going on here.
Trump looks like he's going to win the primary.
But just like with all those endorsements, can't win a primary without Trump.
Can't win a general with him.
The reality is that Haley is better positioned to go against Biden in the general.
But the Republican Party being what it is, doesn't really recognize that.
So Trump keeps scraping along, acting as if he's just winning nonstop when he's barely
has half his own party supporting him.
Now one of the things that has come up about this is people saying, well I don't get it,
why are people saying that Haley would be better positioned to go after Biden if she
can't win in the Republican primary. The idea behind that is that the person who
wins the Republican primary is best suited to win the election. That's not
true. Please keep in mind that every election cycle where there's a
presidential nominee, where there's a presidential election occurring, both
Both parties have somebody who won their primary and one of them is going to lose.
That doesn't make any sense.
Just because somebody can win the primary doesn't mean they're best positioned to
win the general.
Especially if that person is, well, let's just say they don't really have a great record
of winning. So this was the moment for Haley to pull it off. Doesn't look like
it's happening. So she'll probably stay in, but at this point she is probably
hanging her hopes on some outside factor changing the results of the primary.
Maybe Trump deciding that he doesn't want to run or something
along those lines.
Anyway, it's just a thought.
Y'all have a good day.
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