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Published | 2024/03/10 |
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Beau says:
Beau breaks down Biden's public stance on Netanyahu and Israel, hinting at a potential shift in US foreign policy towards defensive aid.
Foreign policy observers
Insight into the broader implications of potential changes in US foreign policy towards Israel and the Middle East.
#Biden #Israel #ForeignPolicy #US #MiddleEast #Aid #Defense #Shift #Implications
Well, howdy there, internet people, it's Beau again.
So today, we are going to talk about Biden,
tones, subtext, and coverage, and coverage,
because something was said,
and I feel like they're gonna stop the quote too soon,
and people may miss the most important part, okay.
So, what happened, right?
Biden gave an interview,
And in it, he said a lot of things in public
that have been said privately for months.
He's been creeping around in the background
saying this privately to Israel.
But now it's in public.
OK, so he said that he thought Netanyahu was, quote,
hurting Israel more than helping.
Again, this isn't a surprise if you've
been keeping up with the foreign policy stuff,
diplomatic side of things. It goes on to say that he's got to pay more attention to efforts
to eliminate or mitigate civilian loss. Again, not a surprise. The U.S. has been putting
pressure on Israel over this for months, but now he's saying it publicly.
The part that is most interesting though, and I think where the coverage may fail, is
when they're talking about Rafa and a potential Israeli offensive into Rafa.
Biden describes it as a red line and when pressed he says it is a red line
but I'm never going to leave Israel and I feel like that's where the quote is
gonna stop. What comes next is arguably the most important part of anything that
was said, it is a red line, but I'm never going to leave Israel.
The defense of Israel is still critical, so there's no red line.
I'm going to cut off all weapons so they don't have the Iron Dome to protect them.
And even that, it's buried in subtext.
I'm not going to cut off all weapons so they don't have the Iron Dome, specifically
naming a defensive system. I don't think that's an accident. This may be the US
signaling that it is ready to cut offensive military aid. Again we've
talked about it they can't cut all aid for a whole bunch of masters of the
universe, sphere of influence, foreign policy stuff, international poker game
where everybody's cheating.
Cutting offensive aid, honestly not something I thought the Biden administration would do.
This is something that to my knowledge hasn't been signaled in private, but I don't know
everything.
It going public like that in that fashion is a sign.
It is a shift in at least tone of American foreign policy.
Whether or not he follows through on it, well, that's anybody's guess.
I would point out there's a lot of people who didn't think they would do the airdrops,
didn't think they would do the pier, and there's a bunch more information about that coming.
Some of it's good, some of it's bad, some of it's tragic.
I just think that this is important to get out first because if the U.S. follows through
with this, other politicians in Israel are going to have to take notice.
Realistically, is it going to change the situation on the ground?
much, not really, but it's a signal, it's a sign. The reason the Biden
administration is so concerned about any move into RAFA is sure the
humanitarian side, but again as we've talked about regardless of how we want
foreign policy to be. Foreign policy is not about morality. It's about power.
That's what it's about. The concern of the Biden administration, no doubt, is a
humanitarian issue occurring during Ramadan and how that might inflame a
wider conflict regionally. Remember in the beginning we were talking about how
that's pretty much all the Biden administration was focused on, was trying
to stop it from expanding. This is the same thing. The subtext of this is big.
Don't know if it will be effective. Don't know if they would follow through on it
if it doesn't sway, if it doesn't sway Netanyahu. But it being said and being
said publicly, when it hadn't even leaked out as being said privately, is bigger
news than I think people are going to give it credit for. So a shift to just
providing defensive systems, it would be a massive shift in US foreign policy in
than the least.
Anyway, it's just a thought.
So have a good day.
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