Input | Output |
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Link | Youtube |
Published | 2024/03/10 |
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Status | article incomplete |
Beau says:
In October 2022, US diplomatic efforts aimed to dissuade Russia from using nuclear weapons, yet monitoring revealed no signs of such intent, showcasing the nuances of international relations.
Diplomacy observers
The full transcript provides a detailed analysis of diplomatic efforts and the absence of evidence regarding Russia's alleged nuclear intentions.
#Diplomacy #Russia #Ukraine #NuclearThreat #InternationalRelations
Well, howdy there, internet people, it's Bo again.
So today we are going to talk a little bit
about something that occurred back in October of 2022,
and how sometimes we don't find out things
until way after the fact.
And we're gonna talk about one critical piece of information
that I feel like might get left out of the story
as it progresses.
Okay, so in October of 2022, in Ukraine,
Russian troops are surrounded by Ukrainian forces near Khursan.
And Russia is poised to take a pretty big hit.
At the same time, Russian bloggers and people
who are known to carry their message forward
start talking about how they believe that Ukraine is about to use a dirty bomb.
Now most people at the time put this up to the Russian forces trying to stall USAID.
That's what it's about.
Now the administration was concerned.
were concerned that Russia might be getting ready to use a nuke and this was
them developing a pretext. Now they signaled themselves, the administration
signaled themselves, hey don't do this, to Russia. They also reached out to other
countries to include China and India, a whole bunch, to get them to say hey don't
do this. This is a really bad idea. You know, don't open Pandora's box here.
And the story that is going out, the reporting that is going out, is that the
administration feels that them reaching out and asking the other countries,
non-allies to signal to Russia might have had some impact on their thinking.
That's the story.
And my guess is that that is how it is going to be reported.
Here's the critical piece.
The US was monitoring Russia, looking for any indication that they were going to do
at. Quote, at no point did they see anything indicating that that was the case. That seems
important and I feel like that might get left out. It is a good example of how back channels
and everything work when it comes to diplomacy.
At the same time, yes, tactical devices are easier to move without being seen.
There is risk and all of that stuff.
But the key part, at no point did they observe any of that.
Did they catch anything?
There was a concern and they addressed it, which is how it's supposed to work.
We shouldn't wait until the telltale signs are there.
But based on what has come out so far, it doesn't seem like the diplomatic efforts
actually stopped Russia from doing this.
It seemed like there was a concern.
They reached out and maybe it made them take it completely off the table or something like
that.
more like what the story is going to end up being. Now, I mean, this is one of those
situations I could definitely be wrong. They could have intended on using a
tactical device, but it seems unlikely. There will probably be more reporting on
this as it comes out and clarify the story a little bit, but I saw the initial
reporting and then the very next article had completely removed any reference to
the idea that the administration was looking and didn't see anything. Anyway
It's just a thought, y'all have a good day.
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