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| Published | 2024/04/04 |
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Beau says:
Exploring tension in the White House, Biden's frustrations, and the high stakes surrounding RAFA.
Political analysts
The full transcript provides a detailed analysis of the tension within the White House and the implications of policy decisions regarding RAFA, offering a deeper understanding of the current political landscape.
#WhiteHouse #Biden #RAFA #ForeignPolicy #PoliticalTension
Well, howdy there, internet people, it's Bo again.
So today, we are going to talk about the atmosphere
in the White House, according to the reporting and the hints.
And we're gonna just kind of put it all together
and see if we can get a picture of what's going on,
and maybe that can give us a little bit of insight.
There's been a lot of articles about this.
When you go through all of them,
You definitely have a scene that's before you, you know, during the campaign, there
was that moment where the Republican Party basically said that Biden was like Mr. Rogers,
and that was a bad thing for some reason.
And that image, in a lot of ways, stuck for the most part.
From the reporting and the hints, it appears that, well, the White House has been anything
but Mr. Rodgersey lately.
There's a lot of tension.
There have been reports of at least one screaming match, and certainly hints that it wasn't
a singular event.
Profanity, just a whole bunch of things.
has come out that during the talks about Rafa, at one point an Israeli official got, well,
let's just call it animated and was upset.
The US officials remained calm and just continued to push the issues, which is what diplomats
are supposed to do, but it shows the level of tension there.
That same dynamic is kind of being hinted to as occurring inside the White House.
Biden has been described as furious, in particular when it comes to the hit on World Central
Kitchen.
Now Thursday, Biden and Netanyahu are supposed to talk.
The expectation is that Biden is going to use this moment to express his frustrations.
We'll see how that goes.
It's been hinted that there are animated conversations between different groups within the White House
about how to respond to the World Central kitchen situation.
Now, another thing that isn't being reported on,
but I am certain that it is part
of these animated conversations is early on,
Because early on, the Biden administration did one thing really well in this.
When it comes to stopping it from turning into a regional conflict, they did that and
they did it well.
They expended a lot of political capital in the Middle East to accomplish that.
A lot of the moves originating from Netanyahu's administration could definitely put that in
jeopardy.
I would imagine that there are conversations about how the U.S. should respond if their
work is undone.
We don't know how this talk on Thursday is going to go though.
There is a divided White House as far as the advisors.
That much seems pretty clear when you read all the articles and put all the pieces together.
Now what does this mean for policy?
Biden can be furious, but if that anger and that disappointment, that frustration, however
it is framed, is just words, I mean, what does that mean, you know?
So officially, the hit on World Central Kitchen is not going to change U.S. policy.
That's the headline.
There are two ways of looking at that.
One is the foreign policy perspective.
The other is the political one.
From a foreign policy perspective and a foreign policy perspective alone, the subtext of
U.S. policy isn't changing is important because it means they're focusing all of their efforts
on RAFA and stopping an offensive into RAFA.
From a foreign policy perspective, that's probably the right move.
When you're talking about just the math and the amount of lives at stake, that's probably
the right move.
As long as it's successful.
Because if it's not the political point of view, oh, it's going to be even worse.
But if you're looking at the lack of change in U.S. policy just from a political point
of view, asking people to weigh that subtext, that's a big ask.
That's a big ask.
The American people are very aware of what occurred.
I can understand from a foreign policy standpoint wanting to focus on the big picture.
From a political standpoint, no change and that actually being like what's coming out,
that's not going to sit well.
If they are unsuccessful when it comes to RAFA, that's going to be a big deal.
That's going to turn out to be a really bad move.
Even a token change would make more sense.
What does this all mean at the end?
Everything hinges on RAFA.
Everything hinges on RAFA.
Not just the people who hang in the balance, but the foreign policy implications and the
political implications at home.
There's a lot of pressure riding on this now.
so, then what was originally there and what was originally there was a lot. If
they are successful at deterring an offensive interopha, there will be books
written about this by the people who were there. If they are unsuccessful, there
There will be books written about this by people who are criticizing the decisions.
It's very high stakes.
The conversation, I don't know that we'll find anything out about it much like the talks,
the first set of talks on RAFA.
When we talked about it before it happened, I was like, don't trust anything that comes
out right away.
The best you're going to hope for is for them to say it was constructive and productive.
And they actually used those exact words, which I didn't know was going to happen.
And then we find out, yes, apparently it was constructive.
There's a follow-up talk, but based on more recent reporting that includes a screaming
match, maybe it wasn't as polite a conversation as they let on.
conversation between Biden and Netanyahu is going to be the same thing. Don't put too much into
what is initially said, because it's going to be posturing at the beginning until more details come out.
There is way more riding on this than is evident at first glance. And understand,
what is evident at first glance is hundreds of thousands of lives. There's
way more than that. Because if this goes the wrong way and a regional conflict
flares, we are back to that stage. We are back to the beginning when the
conversations were about stopping that. I would imagine that the administration
diplomats that were responsible for stopping it the first time are very
unhappy about how things are progressing. These are also people that will probably
have a lot of influence into how US policy changes if the situation in Rafa
is not resolved successfully. So, that's what's going on. There's a whole lot.
Probably not going to know anything tomorrow, but a lot of it appears to be
coming to a head starting tomorrow and then over the next four or five days.
Anyways, it's just a thought, y'all have a good day.
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