| Input | Output |
|---|---|
| Link | Youtube |
| Published | 2024/04/19 |
| Theme | |
| Status | article incomplete |
Beau says:
Beau outlines the conflicting reports on a potential deal between Biden and Israel, Israel's response to Iran, and the risk of escalating regional conflict without diplomatic intervention.
Diplomatic officials
Analysis of potential consequences of escalating conflict in the region.
#Ra'afah #BidenAdministration #Israel #Iran #Diplomacy
Well, howdy there, internet people, it's Beau again.
So today, we are going to talk about some major developments
over there and run through some updates,
maybe their corrections, maybe their developments.
We don't exactly know at time of filming,
but there have definitely been some changes.
And we will go through what is available
and just go through the information
we have right now. Okay, so if you missed the earlier video, reporting said
that the Biden administration had signed off on a move into Ra'afah by Israel
in exchange for Israel having a limited response when it comes to Iran. Since
Since then, the Biden administration has denied that that deal has taken place.
They have denied that they have signed off on a move into Ra'afah, and that that deal
even occurred.
At the same time, Israel has responded to Iran.
It does not appear to be limited in the way that people were anticipating or perhaps hoping
for.
Iran had laid out a number of things that it viewed as red lines, things not to do,
otherwise Iran would respond to the response.
It almost appears as if Israel took the red lines and used them as an operational template.
Based on early reporting, there were strikes inside of Iran and at a particular facility
that if that strike was successful and it was damaged, odds are Iran is going to respond.
So this prompted the question of, was the earlier reporting about the deal between Biden
and Netanyahu, about Rafa and the response, was that information, that reporting incorrect?
Or did somebody break the deal and that led to the denials or the response?
We don't know.
And realistically, probably never will.
It could be bad reporting.
It could be, it could have been Netanyahu trying to put that story out in hopes of getting
Biden to go along with it.
It could have been the administration floating it to see how people reacted and they didn't
like the way people reacted.
It could have been that the deal was made and then the US found out about the Israeli
response and what it was going to be and pulled their support.
It could be that the deal was made, Biden administration officials then denied it and
that caused the Israeli response.
Any of those are possible and we don't know which it is, if any.
So at this point, what we know is that according to administration officials, there is no deal
about RAFA and we know that Israel has responded.
The size of the response is somewhat debated at the moment because while there certainly
appears to be confirmation of the strikes inside of Iran, there are also
reports of strikes in Iraq and Syria. The strikes within Iran, those seem to be
more verified. The other ones, people are talking about them, but at this
point in time they aren't exactly confirmed. Well, they are not confirmed to
be related to the response. This is a chaotic region. It could be something
completely unrelated. We don't know yet. We'll have to wait for more information.
So, Iran said that their response would be almost immediate. I think they said
within seconds, which everybody understood to be hyperbole, but it would
be very quick if Israel hit inside of Iran. So at this point we're waiting to
see what kind of response comes from Iran and whether or not that is going to
be limited. At this point we're kind of waiting for somebody to be the adult in
the room. If nobody chooses to be the adult in the room, the risk of regional
conflict is incredibly high. Because as things go back and forth, the chance
of escalation increases. I am sure there will be an update on this tomorrow. Anyway,
It's just a thought. Y'all have a good day.
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