Input | Output |
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Link | YouTube |
Published | 2022/04/28 |
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Status | article incomplete |
Beau says:
Russia's gas cutoff impacts Poland and Bulgaria, Kherson fears a fake referendum, partisans face cyber threats, and the Eastern Offensive shows slight gains.
Activists, Analysts, Ukrainians
Further details on the potential consequences of the developments and the broader implications for the region.
#Ukraine #Russia #GasCutoff #CyberThreats #EasternOffensive
Well, howdy there, Internet people. It's Beau again. So today we're going to talk about
four developments that are definitely worth noting in Ukraine at this time. The first
is that Russia has cut off natural gas to Poland and Bulgaria. Now, Poland has reportedly
supplied tanks, allowed tanks to migrate to Ukraine, and they have also imposed sanctions.
Bulgaria has been less active, however, they are allowing an outpost to be used for Western
fighters, Western jets. Now, the actual impact of this, it's going to be price fluctuations,
not shortages. Poland has been preparing for this and has infrastructure of its own, and
most importantly, it's almost May. Natural gas isn't going to be used quite as much.
This gap will probably be filled by alternate suppliers. Probably not going to be a huge
thing. Now, in Kherson, there is concern about a Russian referendum that they're going to
basically put out a fake vote and say that this area wants to become an independent republic.
It's worth noting this area has tons of partisan activity. This is not a pro-Russian area.
If there is a vote, Russia has not announced one, but if there is a vote, it would not
be likely that it would go in Russia's favor if it was free. I mean, this is part of that
thick contested rear that Russia is having to contend with. Russia has a history of running
fake referendums, but again, no announcement on that from Russia yet. It still seems to
be speculation and worry from the government in Ukraine. The Eastern Offensive. Russia
is starting to make small gains. They're not large enough to show the logistical issues
yet, and that's kind of what a lot of people are waiting on to see if they'll actually
be able to proceed with this offensive. The gains they have made aren't really long enough
to stretch the lines to show any logistical problems that they might still have. And then
there's one piece of bad news. A Russian cyber offensive was able to collect a bunch of information
about vehicular insurance. That is bad news for the partisans. They're going to have to
take a lot more precautions. This information will allow Russia to tie a vehicle to a person
in an address. So that means that the partisans will now have to start switching out tags
and making sure that the tag they obtain to put on the vehicle they're going to use is
of the same make and model, or they'll have to start borrowing vehicles. They're not going
to be able to use those that are linked to anybody that is sympathetic to the resistance
there. That is going to complicate things. So these are the developments that have occurred
over the last 48 hours or so that are definitely worth noting that will end up kind of building
in to other stories later as the news progresses. Anyway, it's just a thought. Y'all have a good day.
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