Input | Output |
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Link | YouTube |
Published | 2022/10/06 |
Theme | |
Status | article incomplete |
Beau says:
Beau explains Russian strategy in Ukraine, revealing the offensive nature of the war and the challenges Russia faces in holding territory, leading to losses and domestic dissent.
International observers
Insights on the potential long-term consequences of Russia's actions in Ukraine.
#Ukraine #Russia #War #Imperialism #Aggression
Well, howdy there, internet people.
It's Beau again.
So today, we are going to talk a little bit more
about the situation in Ukraine.
And we're going to answer a question that
is pretty enlightening in its own way,
having nothing to do with the actual field, which
is what the question is about.
But it kind of showcases something
that gets debated politically.
But when you transfer it to the battlefield,
it becomes super clear.
OK.
Early in the war, you said not to worry
if Ukraine lost a bunch of territory
because they might deploy a strategy of, in quotation
marks, defending deep.
I honestly thought this was a maximum amount of cope
until it happened.
I'm just wondering, are the current Russian losses
the same strategy?
Is it possible that Russia is deploying
the same strategy of defending deep currently?
Could that explain their sudden movements east?
No.
No, definitely not.
OK.
So the reason this question is interesting
is not because of anything on the battlefield.
But it showcases how sometimes the battlefield itself
can shed a little bit of light on the political realities.
I've been very clear about this.
I haven't hidden this fact.
I think this is Russian imperialism.
It's a war of aggression, not something I hide.
But even if you believe that Russia is
warranted in their actions, when you look at the field
and you look at what each side has to do to win,
you have to acknowledge it's an offensive war for Russia.
Ukraine had the option of defending deep
because they were defending.
They can pull back, stretch the lines, and then attack.
They had that option.
They did it.
It worked very well for them.
Russia can't do that, not and expect to win,
because Russia is not defending.
At this point, as we've talked about before,
the political goals of the war, those are already lost.
The only thing left is raw imperialism.
Take dirt and hold it.
That is the only metric that Russia
can use to justify this now.
Nothing else.
Everything else failed.
Everything else they've already lost.
So the only metric they have to claim victory by
is taking dirt and holding it.
You can't defend deep if you're doing that,
because every inch you give up is
a loss and a permanent one.
You could, in theory, pull back in a small area to regroup
and then move back in.
That, sure.
But we're not talking about small areas.
We are talking about entire fronts just collapsing.
They're not defending deep.
They're losing.
They're losing in a very loud and ugly fashion.
Is there a chance that they can turn the tide still?
Sure.
Sure.
But the further the Ukrainian army drives,
the less likely that becomes, especially given
the political actions of Moscow in faking a whole referendum
thing and annexing the countries,
annexing sections of the country and all of this.
At this point, by Russia's fantasy claims,
I think by now Ukraine is technically invading Russia.
No, they can't defend deep like this.
They have to hold the dirt.
They have to hold the dirt because they're
an occupying force.
They're on the offensive.
They're the invader.
If you don't like those terms because
of the political connotation, that's fine.
But when you're talking about the actual battlefield,
they're the invader.
They're on offense.
They're the occupier.
There's no other words for it.
It's what they do.
It's what they're doing there.
So I don't want to say that it's hopeless for the Russian army
because getting cocky is a sure way to lose.
But every day that goes on, every village that is liberated
is a huge loss for Russia, especially in those areas
that they, quote, annexed.
What's going to happen is now that the Russian troops aren't
there, the populace is probably going
to be pretty welcoming to the Ukrainian soldiers,
at which point Russia's entire narrative falls apart.
It becomes very clear, as if it wasn't already,
that the referendums were staged.
It becomes very clear that it was entirely imperialism.
This is why they can't allow this.
This is why this is not a strategy
that they would employ.
This is just failure on their part.
The war in Ukraine has gone from bad to worse for Russia.
And their less than effective mobilizations
have just created domestic dissent
without providing any edge on the battlefield.
There's not a lot going well for Russia right now
in this conflict.
So the question about are they defending deep,
is this a strategy that they could be employing,
it kind of shines a light on the political realities of it.
I mean, if you look at the political realities
of it, I mean, if you adopt that position,
you might be engaging in maximum cope.
Anyway, it's just a thought.
Y'all have a good day.
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