Input | Output |
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Link | YouTube |
Published | 2022/10/08 |
Theme | |
Status | article incomplete |
Beau says:
Beau talks about the Kerch Bridge incident, its potential causes, strategic implications, and morale impact on Ukrainian and Russian forces.
Policy Analysts, Strategists
Further analysis on the geopolitical consequences of the Kerch Bridge incident.
#KerchBridge #Geopolitics #Ukraine #Russia #SupplyRoutes
Well, howdy there, internet people.
It's Beau again.
So today we are going to talk about a bridge,
a bridge that was apparently not too far,
and we're gonna talk about this bridge
because it had an issue.
What we're gonna do is we are going to start off
with the facts, and then we'll go from there.
We are going to be talking about the Kerch Bridge.
This is a bridge that runs over the Kerch Strait.
It connects Russia to Crimea.
It is a big bridge.
It may be the largest bridge Russia has ever built.
It is 10 to 12 miles long.
It accommodates both rail and car.
It is Putin's pride and joy who is on hand personally
to inaugurate it.
This area was the scene of the Kerch Strait incident.
If you're not familiar with that,
that was the first open engagement
between official Russian forces
and official Ukrainian forces.
This occurred on November 25th, 2018.
Yes, during Trump's presidency, if you're a Fox News viewer.
The bridge itself has become a symbol of the occupation.
There's a lot of animosity towards this bridge.
Okay, so what happened on it?
A whole bunch of rapidly expanding gas.
Something blew up.
Something blew up.
It does appear to have damaged the bridge.
How long the bridge will be out of service isn't known yet.
At time of filming, the bridge is still ablaze.
The length of time the bridge is down matters a lot.
This is a significant supply route
for Russian forces in Crimea.
If it's down for an extended period,
that is going to severely disrupt their supply efforts.
Even if it's down temporarily, it's going to be a problem.
Now, conventional wisdom says that this was a Ukrainian operation.
I would like to point out we don't know that yet.
And I have seen alternate explanations.
One being it just lacks Russian safety standards
when it comes to transportation.
One being a gender reveal gone wrong.
Another being a tactical redeployment of the bridge
so it could regroup with the Moskva.
Another is that it was Russians defending deep.
My personal belief is that it was somebody
with a Russian passport who just flicked something
out the window at an inopportune time
around something flammable.
Now, if this was a Ukrainian operation,
it signals a lot of confidence.
Now, I personally believe it might be a little too soon
to show this level of confidence.
But with the way things have been going on the battlefield,
it wouldn't surprise me.
Generally speaking, it's a good idea
to leave your opposition a route of retreat.
If the bridge is down for an extended period,
the most direct route is no longer there.
So if it was a Ukrainian operation
that was officially sanctioned, it's kind of like that scene
in A Bronx Tale, where the bikers go into the bar
not really understanding that it's ran by the gangsters.
And the gangsters ask them to leave.
And they say no.
And then the gangsters lock the door.
They're like, no, you can't leave.
That's where we're at.
So if this was a Ukrainian operation,
they feel very confident in their abilities
right now, which they have reason to.
They have reason to.
No matter the cause, no matter how this occurred
or who was behind it, this is going
to be a huge boost in morale to the Ukrainian side
just because of the symbolic nature of the bridge.
And it's going to definitely cause a supply
issue for the Russian side.
So that's where we're at.
Happy birthday, Mr. President.
And anyway, it's just a thought.
Y'all have a good day.
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