Input | Output |
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Link | YouTube |
Published | 2022/12/02 |
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Status | article incomplete |
Beau says:
The Democratic Party considers changing the primary order to better represent its diverse base and capitalize on internal party dynamics.
Political activists, Democratic Party supporters
The full transcript provides a detailed analysis of why changing the order of primaries is significant for the Democratic Party's representation and success.
#DemocraticParty #PrimaryOrder #Diversity #BlackAmericans #PoliticalStrategy
Well, howdy there, internet people.
It's Beau again.
So today we are going to talk about
the Democratic Party's discussions over changing the order
in which states vote during the primaries
and why it matters.
The media is covering this.
This is actually getting some coverage,
but I don't think they're doing a good job
of putting it into context and judging by my inbox.
Y'all don't think so either.
So we're gonna kind of go over
what they're talking about doing,
why they're talking about doing it,
and why there might be some resistance to it,
and more importantly, what it means,
because it actually kind of means something cool
as we go through all of this.
So what's happening starting there?
Biden has made it pretty clear.
He thinks that the order in which states conduct
their primaries should change.
While it's not in the memo or letter that was sent,
it has been heavily hinted that he thinks South Carolina
should be moved up, maybe even the first one.
And the question from there kind of becomes,
why does it even matter what order they go in?
When somebody is running to get the nomination,
there's a field of candidates,
and those first few primaries really set the tone.
In fact, if somebody doesn't do well in the first couple,
well, their campaign's pretty much over.
So think about the base of the Democratic Party.
It doesn't all look the same, right?
The people that make up that base,
it's a pretty diverse base.
We've talked about it on the channel.
It's a coalition party.
It's not even, I mean,
set aside the normal demographic information.
Even when it comes to ideology, it's a coalition.
And then you look at the demographics.
It is incredibly diverse.
The two leading states right now,
the two states that kind of kick everything off,
New Hampshire and Iowa.
When you think New Hampshire and Iowa,
do you think a bastion of diversity?
No, you probably don't, because they're not.
New Hampshire is 92.8% white.
It is only 1.9% black.
Iowa is 89.09% white.
It is only 3.72% black.
Do those percentages even remotely represent
the votes that the Democratic Party captures?
No, not at all.
What about South Carolina?
South Carolina is 68.6% white and 26.7% black.
That's why.
That's why this is coming up.
This is, the reason it's kind of cool
is because this is the first sign I've seen
that the Democratic Party establishment
is really beginning to understand
how crucial black Americans are to the success of the party
and how if they don't get candidates
that black Americans want,
well, they're not energized, so they don't show up.
Moving South Carolina up and having the lead off
a state that is diverse,
that will give a much more accurate read
on how the rest of the country thinks,
and more importantly, how their base thinks,
is something that should have happened a long, long time ago.
So that's the motive behind it.
The idea is to make the primaries,
those first primaries, more representative
and get a better feel for what their base actually wants.
I know that's weird to say
because this is not something that,
this is not something that the Democratic Party
establishment's really known for,
but that's the goal.
It's a good move.
Will there be opposition?
Of course New Hampshire and Iowa are going to be furious.
They'll try to stop it.
I don't know if they'll be able to.
I think New Hampshire actually has like a state law
that says that their primary has to be first
or maybe top three.
I don't really remember,
but I think they have their own law
because they know how important it is.
They understand that those first primaries set the tone.
So they want somebody who their state approves of
to get that momentum early.
So there will be opposition to it,
but it's more,
I think the opposition will be more about maintaining
those states' power than about denying the base the say,
which is probably how it's going to come off,
even though that's not,
that's probably not why they're going to fight it.
That's definitely how it's going to be perceived.
In the end, this needs to happen.
Whether it happens now or later, I don't know.
But if the Democratic Party wants to capitalize on the edge
it has been given by the Republican Party
just tearing itself apart,
this would be a good way to do it.
Setting the tone and getting candidates
that energize all of the base
rather than just the lily white areas
is probably a good idea.
Anyway, it's just a thought.
Y'all have a good day.
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