Input | Output |
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Link | YouTube |
Published | 2022/12/06 |
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Status | article incomplete |
Beau says:
Georgia's Senate runoff holds significant implications for various political parties and factions, with potential insights into the impact of unlikely voters.
Political observers
Insights on the potential consequences of the Georgia Senate runoff on national politics.
#Georgia #SenateRunoff #PoliticalParties #UnlikelyVoters #ElectionResults
Well, howdy there, Internet people.
It's Beau again.
So today, we are going to talk about Georgia,
because Georgia seems to be on everybody's mind right now.
The Senate runoff there is proving
to be pretty important for various political parties
and factions within them.
We're going to go over that, and then we're
going to go over another impact from the election,
something we'll be able to figure out
once the results are announced.
So the Democratic Party, they want that seat.
They want a clear majority.
It also helps maybe lessen the importance of Democratic Party
figures like Manchin.
The Republican Party, they want that seat.
They want a power-sharing agreement.
Trump desperately needs Walker to win.
Desperately.
The Republican Party as a whole, since they lack the courage
to stand up to Trump, they kind of need Walker to lose,
even though they want the seat.
Because Walker losing is just another nail
in the coffin of Trump's political career.
So this is why there's so much attention being focused on.
This is why the various parties and factions within
are paying so much attention, and they all
have their schemes and desires.
But there's something for us, too.
Beyond the impact politically, we
get to see if a trend is going to hold.
Prior to the midterms, we talked about the unlikely voter.
Now, Walker is expected to lose.
He's expected to lose by a couple of points, two, maybe
three.
If he loses by more than that, that
means that trend of the unlikely voter, those people who
aren't being included in the polling,
that means that's going to hold.
During the midterms, it was just overwhelming.
It was on social media constantly.
There was just a lot of buzz about it.
And in some ways, the constant prediction of a red wave
might have helped to stop it because it drove voter turnout.
This isn't something that is as widely advertised.
It doesn't have the same buzz.
It doesn't have the same urgency in feeling.
If Walker loses by more than three points,
we can assume that those unlikely voters are now
politically active and they're going
to continue to show up, which means the polling is off
and it's going to stay off because they're not going
to be getting an accurate sample.
We won't know this until after the results are done.
As it stands, Walker is expected to lose.
It's good for the Democratic Party
and it's good for the normal faction,
the actual conservatives within the Republican Party.
It's good for them.
It's bad for the Republican Party as a whole
and it is bad for the Trump faction, MAGA faction,
the Sedition Caucus, those groups
within the Republican Party.
That being said, those are polls.
We have to wait and see the actual results
at the end of the day.
And of course, it probably won't be at the end of the day.
This may be a race that takes a little bit of time to count.
Anyway, it's just a thought.
Y'all have a good day.
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