Input | Output |
---|---|
Link | Youtube |
Published | 2023/02/28 |
Theme | |
Status | article incomplete |
Beau says:
China's peace plan subtly criticizes US and Russia, while Russia's focus on territorial control challenges potential peacemaking efforts, leaving room for China to step in if willing.
Foreign policy analysts
The full transcript provides a detailed analysis of China's peace plan, Russia's response, and the potential role of China in mediating conflicts, offering insight into international relations dynamics beyond surface diplomacy.
#China #Russia #PeacePlan #Diplomacy #TerritorialIntegrity
Well, howdy there, internet people.
Let's bow again.
So today, we are going to talk a little bit about China's
proposed peace plan, the 12 points.
We're going to go through them.
We're going to talk about some of the subtext of it.
And then we're going to talk about the response from Russia
to it and what that can tell us about Russia's intentions
for the future.
OK.
So this has been discussed a few times recently.
We're going to run through the titles of each point.
Now, if you sit down and read it,
there's a paragraph or so after each one of these points.
But the titles pretty much give you the gist of it.
This is China's position on how the political process should
go, the peace process should go.
One, respecting the sovereignty of all countries.
2. Abandoning the Cold War mentality, 3. Ceasing hostilities, 4. Resuming peace talks, 5. Resolving
the humanitarian crisis, 6. Protecting civilians and POWs, 7. Keeping nuclear power plants
safe, 8. Reducing strategic risks, strategic in this case meaning nukes.
Nine, facilitating grain exports.
10, stopping unilateral sanctions.
11, keeping industrial and supply chains stable.
12, promoting post-conflict reconstruction.
If you go through and you look at all of this,
it's pretty bland for the most part.
I mean, this is all very basic diplomacy 101 type stuff.
The interesting part about it is that China manages to put little jabs in against both
the United States and Russia in this position.
When it is talking about strategic risks, that is a light jab at Russia's nuclear saber
rattling.
When it's talking about unilateral sanctions, that's aimed at the United States.
When it's talking about keeping power plants safe, that is also aimed at Russia.
There's a lot of it in there that is, it is delicately said, but it's China coming in
and kind of saying, y'all need to knock it off.
And the first part, respecting territorial integrity, that's a big part to it.
Now, what was Russia's response to this?
The spokesperson for the Kremlin said, we don't see any of the conditions that are needed
to bring this whole story towards peace.
That was today, I think.
And on Friday, the foreign minister said that any new deal was going to have to accept the
new territorial realities, and that's the big part.
That's the big part.
Russia is saying it's keeping this territory, or it's turning it into new countries.
It's empire building.
It's a land grab.
They're very clearly and openly stating this now on the international scene, that that
is their intention, that it wasn't about demilitarizing, it wasn't about any of this stuff that they
said, it was about getting land, getting dirt, taking territory.
It's going to be interesting how this plays out over the long term.
Now Zelensky, after seeing this, he wants to talk to China.
And I think he probably will end up doing that.
I think there will probably be some high-level meetings.
This is an opportunity for the Chinese government to step in and play peacemaker.
It's a bizarre idea.
Historically there's not a lot of precedence for China to act as peacemaker between European
powers, but tradition is peer pressure from dead people.
There's nothing saying that they can't do it.
And China holds a lot of sway over Russia.
Russia in this, because of Ukraine, Russia has emerged as the junior partner when it
comes to Russia and Russia-China relations.
Russia is the weaker power.
China has a lot of influence there.
So I know that there is a lot of talk in foreign policy circles, basically just discounting
the idea that China would really get involved in this and that it's just ridiculous and
why would anybody want that?
I think that's based on tradition.
I don't see why China couldn't act as peacemaker here.
They could try.
I don't know that they're going to because again, historically China looks at Europe
And it's like, yeah, that's your problem, not mine.
But this plan, yeah, it's very bland.
It's Diplomacy 101 stuff.
But if they were to express any interest in jumping
into that arena of foreign policy,
there's nothing actually stopping them
other than their own will.
I know it's being blown off right now
just something that won't happen, it might. There's nothing to say that they
won't do it. There's no mechanism stopping them. Other than Russia being
very clear that point one, respecting territorial integrity, that's not in
their game plan. They plan to seize territory. They plan to empire-build.
They plan to hold this land. That is the new territorial realities that the
foreign minister says have to be accepted. And I don't know that Ukraine
is going to be willing to accept those current realities. I think they might
try to change them before any real peace process starts moving. Anyway, it's just a
thought, y'all have a good day.
{{Shirt}}
{{EasterEgg}}