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Published | 2023/03/06 |
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Beau says:
Analyzing Nikki Haley's speech gives insights into Republican strategies, focusing on culture wars, leadership change, and differentiation from Trump, with scapegoating of the LGBTQ community likely.
Politically engaged individuals
Detailed analysis of Republican strategies and potential implications for the upcoming elections.
Well, howdy there, internet people, it's Beau again.
So today we are going to talk about Nikki Haley's speech
and what it can tell us about how the primaries are
going to shape up and what kind of language
we can expect from Republicans as they transition
through the primary phase and into the general election.
Because we're already starting to get some hints
as to what they are going to try to campaign on
and what they're going to push back on when it comes to Trump.
OK.
So at CPAC, Haley gave a speech.
And in it, one of the things that she
said that definitely caught the most attention
was saying that wokeness was a virus worse than any pandemic or something along those lines,
you know, referencing the public health issue that took out, you know, more than a million people.
What this tells us is that in the primary phase, even those Republicans who are going to try to
cast themselves as moderates, are going to play into the culture war stuff, and they're
going to talk about being woke.
This is part of the primary season as they move into the general election, assuming a
moderate actually succeeds.
You'll see some of that kind of slow down because they've begun to understand that
that isn't necessarily a winning strategy.
The other thing that you can expect to hear repeatedly is that the Republican leadership
needs change and they need to do things a different way because they've lost seven
out of the last eight elections, doesn't seem like a huge statement, doesn't seem
like it matters.
It means Trump lost.
That's how they're going to frame it.
That's how they're going to push back on his claims.
Getting it out there early that he didn't actually win.
And this is how you'll start to see the moderates separate themselves from the Trump and Trump-like
candidates. So as it moves into the general, the moderate candidates can take
that statement and really push back and try to differentiate themselves from
Trump. That's what they're laying the groundwork for, assuming that they
actually get through the primary. There still is a significant chance that a
a Trump or Trump-lite candidate actually succeeds and gets the nomination from the Republican
Party.
Most of the Trump-lite candidates are engaging in a lot of grandstanding for the primary
crowd even though they haven't announced their candidacy for president yet.
A lot of it is so extreme that once they hit the general with it, it may be self-sabotaging.
They may have real issues getting anywhere because of some of the political stunts they're
engaging in now to set themselves up for the primary.
Haley is trying to be the moderate.
And if you've listened to her speak lately, you can be forgiven for not really believing
that.
But the setup that she's putting out there is one of being able to differentiate herself
from Trump, from his claims, by acknowledging early on that he didn't win 2020 and pushing
that out there.
So she won't be bound to those claims as she moves through the cycle.
The culture war stuff, sadly, that is still going to be their angle, which is going to
include a lot of scapegoating of the LGBTQ community.
That's going to be their big push.
we've got we've got to be ready for it. So anyway, it's just a thought. Y'all have a good day.
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