Input | Output |
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Link | Youtube |
Published | 2023/03/16 |
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Status | article incomplete |
Beau says:
Beau analyzes the potential impact of Ukraine acquiring new aircraft through trades, questioning whether it will be a significant game-changer in the conflict.
Military analysts, policymakers
More in-depth analysis and context on the geopolitical implications of the potential aircraft transfer deal.
#Ukraine #Aircraft #EurofighterTyphoon #MiG29 #NATO
Well, howdy there, internet people.
It's Beau again.
So today, we are going to talk about the possibility of
Ukraine getting some new aircraft and the trade and
series of trades that might bring that about and whether
or not it would really matter, whether or not it would
provide a real change on the ground.
Because there's a lot of talk about something and talking
about the logistics of it, and many times some big things
are being overlooked.
So the United Kingdom has kind of indicated
that they are looking into and are pretty willing to provide
Eurofighter typhoons to countries that have MiG-29s
that they are willing to give to Ukraine.
So, one of the countries that operates MiG-29s
gives their aircraft to Ukraine.
The Ukrainians know how to fly them.
And then they get Eurofighter Typhoons
from the United Kingdom, all right?
Now, the Typhoons that the UK looks to be willing
to give up, they're older, and that has been brought up.
It's worth noting that the MiG-29s are not,
They're not fresh off the lot either.
So the overall logistics of moving them seems pretty simple.
The question is, does it matter?
So for the countries that are currently
operating the MiG-29s that would give them up and give them
to Ukraine, they run into the issue
of having to retrain their pilots for the Typhoon.
The problem with that is that a lot of the countries that operate the MiG-29, they're
kind of on the front lines of any possible future Russian aggression.
And you have to remember that a lot of the defense apparatus in Europe believes that's
likely.
They definitely have a belief that that is more likely than I believe it is.
But they're going to make their decisions based on that.
So during this period when the countries that are operating the MiG-29s are getting familiar
with the new aircraft, they're weaker.
Their defenses are weaker.
So there may be an issue there.
And then the reality is that the MiG-29 is kind of outmatched.
It would help Ukraine a little bit, but this would not be a game changer.
The current Russian aircraft, they're better, and it's probably not going to shift the balance
that much.
I would think that if NATO was going to start looking at providing aircraft, they would
want it to matter. If they're if they're going to cross that line, they would
want it to be pretty decisive. The MiG-29s, they're okay, but they're not
going to shift things on the battlefield to the degree that I think NATO would
want to actually move forward with something like this. Now, again, that's NATO.
individual countries that maybe NATO members might decide to go it alone. But
at the end of this when you're really looking at it and you're looking at the
final result it seems unlikely because at some point somebody is going to kind
of point out that even once Ukraine gets these they're not going to shift things
as much. They're not going to change the the balance of power a whole lot. They'll
help, sure anything helps, but if you're gonna cross that line this is one that
when you cross it you want to make sure that it's gonna matter. So there's a lot
of rumors about this going around about this deal. It might happen but I don't
I don't see this as a massive game-changing thing, even if it does.
Anyway, it's just a thought.
Y'all have a good day.
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