Input | Output |
---|---|
Link | Youtube |
Published | 2023/04/26 |
Theme | |
Status | article incomplete |
Beau says:
Beau dives into Trump's reluctance to debate, exploring his stated and potential real reasons, and the realization that Trump's political brand might not be a winning one.
Political analysts, voters
Insights on the potential impact of Trump's decision on the Republican primary debates.
#Trump #RepublicanPrimary #Debates #PoliticalStrategy #Moderates #Election
Well, howdy there, internet people.
Let's vote again.
So today we are going to talk about Trump and the Republican primary
debates and why he certainly appears to be unwilling to engage in them.
We will talk about what he said, his stated reasons, and then we're going
to talk about what the logical reasons probably are, because the stated
reasons and the real reasons may not be the same thing.
I think that his reluctance may mean that he has learned something about
himself, and it may actually be one of the smarter moves that he is going to
make. Okay, so what did he say? I see that everybody is talking about the Republican
debates, but nobody got my approval or the approval of the Trump campaign before
announcing them. When you're leading by seemingly insurmountable numbers,
and you have hostile networks with angry Trump and MAGA, all caps. Hating anchors
asking the questions in quotation marks. Why subject yourself to being libeled
and abused? Also, the second debate is being held at the Reagan Library, the
chairman of which is amazingly Fred Ryan, publisher of the Washington Post. No!
Exclamation point, all caps. So it certainly seems that the former president
is unwilling to debate but let's be real these these statements here that his
stated reasoning that's just a normal day for Trump isn't it doesn't that
actually fire up his base typically when when somebody that he can other some
network he can other like goes after him that normally coalesces is his base so
So that seems weird.
So you have to look at other reasons he might not want to debate.
The first is that Trump is actually not great at debating.
He really isn't.
He's good at insulting.
He's good at deflecting.
But after all of this time and already having served a term in office, that's not going
to fly anymore and he knows it. The other thing is that any time he steps on that
stage either a moderator or a another potential candidate is going to bring up
things like, I don't know, his election claims. If he doubles down on him he
loses moderates. Moderates he needs to win. If he doesn't and backs away from
from him, he upsets his MAGA base. Jan 6, same thing. Documents, same thing. He has
too many legal entanglements that can constantly be brought up. His debate,
posture can't be aggressive. The one thing that he can do well, insult, is just
going to provoke other Republicans to talk about the many issues that accompany Trump.
And then the other thing that I think is important is I think that Trump has realized what a
lot of Republicans have realized.
You can't win a primary without Trump and you can't win a general with him.
The stuff that he has to say to get his primary base fired up, it would hurt him in the general
election.
That rule, that applies to him too.
The stuff that he would have to get out there and push, the rhetoric that he would have
to use will alienate moderate voters, it will alienate the general public, those that are
outside of the Republican primary process.
So he's in a no-win situation.
He cannot win a debate by the rule standards, the standards that matter, meaning convincing
more people to vote for him.
Because no matter what he does, he loses one side or the other.
Trump has realized that Trump is not a great political brand.
It's not a winning brand.
He has to do a whole lot of very delicate back walking and shifting his base while trying
to bring in more moderates.
I don't know that it's even possible, but that's what he's going to have to do if he
wants to stand a chance.
And all of this is against the background of all of these different legal cases that
just keep coming. So it's probably a very smart move for him to bow out of the debates.
He can't win. Doesn't matter what he does. And some of his rivals, they have kept their
cards close to their chest and Trump does not respond well to surprise and I
have a feeling that if he gets on the stage with him and he starts his normal
trumpiness they're gonna respond in kind and it will definitely hurt him more
than it hurts them if they do that, if they go on the offensive.
So I think that's his real reasoning because of the idea of, oh, they're against me.
That's his brand.
That's not a real reason.
I mean, the other alternative is that he's just scared.
He's older.
He is not who he used to be.
He has been, I do believe he has been humbled a little bit by the political process and
he may not be up to it anymore.
I mean that is an option that he's just, he just doesn't have the nerves for it which,
I mean, he has given his opposition a lot of mud to sling at him.
So it may be that.
Or it may be the loyalty pledge, you know.
He's afraid of losing and he doesn't want to have to support another candidate because
deep down he knows that he needs to win.
On a personal level, he needs to win.
So he may not want to rule out that third party run.
There's a lot of options.
As far as his reasoning, I don't think that one of the real options is, oh, the media
doesn't like me.
I mean that's, again, that's his brand.
Anyway, it's just a thought.
Y'all have a good day.
{{Shirt}}
{{EasterEgg}}