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Link | Youtube |
Published | 2023/06/21 |
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Status | article incomplete |
Beau says:
China's strategic ambiguity in military communication with the U.S. serves its goals of keeping the U.S. off balance and maintaining flexibility.
Foreign policy analysts
The full transcript provides a detailed analysis of China's strategic approach to military communication with the U.S., which may be beneficial for those interested in international relations and security dynamics.
#China #US #MilitaryCommunication #ForeignPolicy #Taiwan
Well, howdy there, internet people, it's Beau again.
So today we are going to talk about the United States
and China and the diplomatic situation there
because there was a meeting, a series of meetings,
and they walked away from it saying,
hey, we're working on rebuilding our relationship
that has deteriorated.
But China did not give the United States
the US really, really wants. And people have asked why they're not doing it
because it seems like it's a good thing for both sides. And that's a hotline.
Military to military communications so they can, so high-level members of each
military can talk to each other and kind of calm things down if tensions start to
rise. Now the question is, why doesn't China want that? They should want that
too.
Well the first thing to know is that there are unofficial lines of
communication like that and they already exist. Those kind of less than official
lines of communication, they're still functioning. The US wants an official
line of communication. Why would China want it is the question. You know, the
obvious answer to most people is well to make sure that a war doesn't start. Right,
when we talk about mistakes that US presidents make on the foreign policy
seen, what's the most common one that occurs over the last few years?
Telegraphing your move, right?
Saying ahead of time, what's going to happen?
Putting that information out there a little bit too early.
Those lines, those official hotlines, those are for maintaining the status quo.
That's why they exist.
They're to keep everybody calm, keep everybody level.
You gotta remember from China's point, they don't want the status quo.
That's not what they're aiming for right now.
They want Taiwan.
They want the United States to back off.
In that international poker game where everybody's cheating, Taiwan has become the pot so to
speak. And from the Chinese point of view, having that official line of
communication where there aren't real delays and it's top brass talking to top
brass, it doesn't give them the same degree of latitude because right now
they could, let's say, just mobilize. They're not actually doing anything, but
they mobilize and they start putting troops into ships and stuff like that
and they do it in a very obvious way so the United States sees it. The United
States response, well that's going to be monitored by China, but if that official
line of communication exists, where it's top brass to top brass, during that phone
call the Chinese leader would indicate, well that's just a training exercise. So
then the US doesn't respond. It is in China's national interests to not
really have that line right now. The unofficial lines of communication, well
they take a little bit longer so the United States begins its response and
China gets to see it. So I would imagine that China may eventually agree to this
hotline but they're going to take their time with it because aside from aside
Aside from the ability to gauge responses, they also don't want to seem too eager to
accept the status quo because they don't want the status quo.
So they're trying not to message their moves in advance.
It's a smart move from their side.
I don't actually think that China plans on invading Taiwan anytime soon.
I don't see that.
But they don't want to tell the United States that.
They want that possibility out there to keep the US off balance because it's good for them.
This is one of those things where it seems like everybody should be on board with this,
but from the Chinese point of view, it's better to have the U.S. a little confused.
Anyway, it's just a thought, y'all have a good day.
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