Input | Output |
---|---|
Link | Youtube |
Published | 2023/07/17 |
Theme | |
Status | article incomplete |
Beau says:
Ukraine's strategic moves in targeting a bridge may disrupt Russian troops in Crimea, creating uncertainty and fear among them.
Military analysts
The full transcript provides a detailed analysis of the strategic implications of Ukraine's actions targeting a bridge in Crimea, shedding light on the psychological and tactical aspects of modern warfare.
#Ukraine #Russia #MilitaryStrategy #Conflict #PsychologicalWarfare
Well, howdy there, internet people, it's Beau again.
So today we are going to talk about Ukraine
and bridges and mistakes
and whether or not Ukraine is making one
because there is a kind of a rule
and it appears that Ukraine may be intentionally
trying to break that rule.
And it has led to a question, basically, why is Ukraine so interested in taking out this
bridge?
If they do that, Russian troops in Crimea don't have an easy avenue of escape.
In movies, most times the goal, you want to surround the enemy and destroy them.
In real life, most times you want to leave them away to run away.
Because it's much better to win the battle with them running away.
You're a whole lot less likely to get shot, you know?
So it's been held as a smart move to leave your opposition an avenue of retreat.
And this is going back thousands of years.
There are exceptions to that though, and if you don't know, the reason this is coming
up is because something happened to that bridge again.
Some people are saying Ukraine hit it, maybe it's just poor Russian maintenance, but either
way traffic has stopped.
So at least for the moment, that avenue of retreat is cut off, and it is definitely sending
the message that Ukraine wants that avenue of retreat cut off.
When you're looking at this from the US or from some cushy chair somewhere, there's
a very different perspective than the people who were there.
That goes without saying.
Because most people watching this channel support Ukraine, this may be a little hard,
but I want you to pretend you are a Russian soldier occupying Crimea.
Ukraine has been presented with an opportunity that they couldn't create themselves, that
they couldn't plan this.
The only reason that they're in this situation, I mean, not to put too fine a point on it,
But it's Putin's mismanagement, and they may be trying to take advantage of it.
You're a Russian soldier in Crimea.
That counteroffensive that everybody's been expecting, everybody's waiting for the big
push and all of that stuff, here in the U.S., people are looking at it like when's the game
going to get started.
If you're going to be on the receiving end of that counteroffensive, it's terrifying
waiting for it.
And that's been going on a long time.
Now in Russian propaganda spaces, stuff that they have access to, Russia's saying, hey,
you know, Ukraine launched it and it failed, we've got it.
And that's all fine and good for internet commentators.
the average troop on the ground? I mean they know that they're in the Gilligan's
Island of Wars. They're on day 500 of their eight-hour tour. They probably
don't have a lot of faith in the information that is coming through the
Russian propaganda spaces. So they're waiting for the counter-offensive. Now
their avenue of retreat has been hit. Combine that with what they heard about
Wagner and it's not just that there was a mutiny. Wagner was their premier force
and they were the force keeping pressure on the East. Not just did they like
mutiny or try to coupoutin, they're probably not keeping up as much pressure
which means Ukraine might have forces to devote to you and your avenue of retreat
is cut off. It's scary. It's scary. And then on top of this, your command is in
just utter, utter disarray. It's not, it is not a cohesive organization and
that's very clear. There's a lot of infighting, there's a lot of internal
struggles. And then Putin in his infinite wisdom has decided to remove all of
these commanders and we're getting more information about who they are. The
troops, they're going to get that information and there's no way for the
Russian propaganda space, the military bloggers, to to spin that. They know
who's getting yanked. Now for Putin that's a good move because those people
are not entirely loyal to him apparently. Something that the troops might notice
is that the commanders who agreed with Wagner, well it seems like they're the
better ones. It's gonna shake your resolve. Russian troops are not in a good morale
space and taking out their avenue of retreat while yeah I mean it's against
the rule, it's scary. The reason that avenue is left open is so they can leave because
if they have to fight and you don't give them a way out, generally they fight pretty hard.
But if they're terrified, if their command is in disarray, if they don't have good morale,
If their supplies are disrupted, well, maybe they just give up.
A lot of telegraphing is going on right now, all over the map for people in the
U S what most, most of what's getting covered deals with Crimea, but there's
operations going on all over the map and every soldier, every Russian soldier
along that line has a subconscious fear of them being right on where one of
those arrows is pointing in a Ukrainian war room. The hit on the bridge, if it
was in fact a hit, not just poor maintenance, it reinforces that for the troops in Crimea.
Now to be clear, Ukraine may not be going there, but keeping them off balance is important.
And then there's probably also a psychological element for the Ukrainian side with this bridge.
This bridge is very much a symbol of Russian imperialism.
So it may just be that.
It may just be it's a supply route, so it's a legit target, but also it's symbolic, and
they're wanting to boost their own morale.
Could be that too.
Ukraine has performed very well, and moving into Crimea, that would be risky, but let's
Let's be clear, pretty much every major success they've had thus far, American analysts,
that's too risky.
Russian troops are not in the best morale space.
Ukraine may be trying to take advantage of that.
And there's really nothing Russia can do to counter it at this point.
The removal of those commanders, I guess one was with the VDV.
That wasn't a smart move on Putin's part.
The troops are going to hear about that.
And it shows how widespread discontent is with this war.
Nobody wants to fight to the last man for a war that may end tomorrow.
And putting that out there, creating a situation where they have to decide, am I going to run?
Try to make it along the little land bridge, are we going to plan for that, or are we going
to surrender, or are we going to fight when we have no way out for a country that isn't
supplying us, taking away the good commanders, the person who sent us here
isn't really secure in their position and everything could change tomorrow.
They're sowing a lot of doubt. There's a lot of psychological operations going on.
or maybe it's just bad maintenance or it's just symbolic. I would not say that
it's a mistake because there are there are too many variables and we have no
idea what Ukraine is going to do. This will be one of those things that we won't
know it's a mistake until after everything starts moving very very
quickly and it becomes self-evident. Yeah the general rule is you don't want to do
this. You don't want to shut down the avenue of retreat, but there are exceptions to those rules
and because of Putin's polite purginess they may be one of those exceptions at this point.
Anyway, it's just a thought, y'all have a good day.
{{Shirt}}
{{EasterEgg}}