Input | Output |
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Link | Youtube |
Published | 2023/10/28 |
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Status | article incomplete |
Beau says:
Israel's actions in Gaza may lead to a Fallujah-like scenario, with potential for further escalation involving Iran, amidst a PR campaign with violence.
Global citizens, policymakers, activists
More detailed analysis and context on the potential consequences and impacts of a large-scale ground offensive by Israel in Gaza.
#Israel #Gaza #Conflict #Fallujah #De-escalation
Well, howdy there, internet people, it's Beau again.
So today, we are going to talk about the recent developments.
What's happened, what we know, what we can infer,
where it goes from here, likely outcomes,
what it's going to look like, all of that stuff.
And we'll just kind of run through all of it
based on the information that we have at time of filming.
OK, so if you have no idea what I'm talking about,
Israel has been running some small incursions into Gaza.
But they're picking up in speed and the amount of people,
amount of Israeli troops making those incursions.
There is no way to know at time of filming if this is the beginning of a large-scale,
full-on ground offensive.
But it very well could be, and the rhetoric is certainly leaning that way.
It certainly appears that the Israeli government is just committed to making all of the same
mistakes the United States did.
So the obvious question is, you know, what is it going to look like?
Fallujah.
most likely outcome is that it looks like Fallujah. A lot of heavy urban
combat, a whole lot of loss across the board, especially given the the network
of tunnels that exists. That's going to make it even harder. And the sheer scale.
sheer scale. Again, that's assuming it's a large-scale full-on-ground offensive.
And we don't actually know that yet, but it's starting to shape up to look that
way. One of the things that I want to note about it looking like Fallujah, this
entire time when we've been talking about this conflict or similar conflicts,
it's a PR campaign with violence. You've probably heard the phrase a dozen times.
It should be remembered that just a couple of days ago, a person who fought
in Fallujah who was not in command was called a monster. Not even a monster, that
was me cleaning it up was called much worse because they thought that he was
responsible for it. That's the PR these kinds of operations generate. As far as
expansion. If Israel is going to launch a full-on-ground offensive, basically the
Middle East is in Tehran's hands. They're gonna make the decision. This has the
potential to to spread. There are still countries working trying to trying to
defuse the situation but don't know how effective they are going to be. There are
indications that China is going to kind of step in and try to keep Iran from
raising the temperature even more but it's indications to my knowledge that
hasn't actually started yet and it's just like the US talking to Israel we
have no idea how effective it's going to be. So right now what we know is that the
signs are pointing towards them doing a full long-ground offensive. Now, the
Israeli military is really good at deception, so maybe this is designed to
do something, and if that's the case it won't be a full long-ground offensive,
it'll be pretty limited, but we don't know that. And that's pretty much it.
Based on what we have right now, things are trending. They look like Israel is
going to move full on in. Which with the communications blackout that has
occurred and the situation that was there to begin with and has only gotten
worse, it's going to be a mess. It's going to be a mess. And we are now hoping for
cooler heads to prevail in Tehran.
Anyway, it's just a thought, y'all have a good day.
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