Input | Output |
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Link | Youtube |
Published | 2023/10/29 |
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Status | article incomplete |
Beau says:
Beau addresses US-China relations, the Middle East crisis, and the power dynamics driving foreign policy decisions, focusing on economic interests over friendship.
International Relations Analysts
Insights into the intricacies of international relations, power dynamics, and economic interests shaping foreign policy decisions.
#US-ChinaRelations #MiddleEastCrisis #PowerDynamics #ForeignPolicy #EconomicInterests
Well, howdy there, internet people.
Let's bow again.
So today we are going to talk about the United States
and China and friendship and national interests
and why China would ever help the United States do something.
We're gonna do this because we got a question about it
and it's a good question.
One thing that I want to point out
is that this video was probably recorded days
before y'all see it.
There's a lot of breaking news happening
all over the world right now.
And this is one that will probably be pushed back.
At time of filming, Israel has engaged
in like two small cross-border raids into Gaza, okay?
My guess is that there's gonna be more,
but I don't know that yet.
So right now we are talking about the situation if it has not expanded because that's where we're
at at the moment of filming. Okay so here's the question. Why did you say China would help the
U.S. defuse the situation in the Middle East? Isn't it in their national interest to have us
tangled up in a war. It seems inconceivable that they would try to calm something that would
hurt us. I'm only using the word inconceivable because I like that shirt. You always say countries
don't have friends, so why would they help? Do they actually care about the loss that would occur
with a regional expansion of the war? That kind of flies in the face of your it's only
about power mantra. Okay, so if you missed it, I talked about how it was pretty likely that China
might try to calm things as well, but come at it from a different angle. Since that video went out
and this message came in, there is now news that the United States reached out to China and was
was kind of like, hey, can you talk to Iran after study hall
and try to calm them down?
And it seems that China is kind of open to that.
So why would China be open to that?
Is it that they're friends?
Or is it that they actually care about the loss
that would occur with a regional expansion of the war?
Well, the answer to that is yes, but it's not
It's a loss you're thinking of.
You're thinking of people.
It's always about power.
And how do you get power?
What is one thing that helps?
Power coupons, money.
Unlike the United States, China doesn't turn huge profits on war.
The U.S. does.
China not so much.
But China, well, most large powers, all large powers really have an interest in keeping
this conflict from expanding because an expansion can be really, really bad.
For China in particular, disruption of oil is a big one for them.
Any disruption in oil causes market fluctuations pretty quickly and that impacts them, especially
if you're a country that makes a bunch of inexpensive plastic stuff.
Another reason that it is vitally important to them that it doesn't expand is the Suez
Canal.
Their products go through that.
And then of course exports of all kinds to the actual regions that might, or to the countries
that might be engulfed in any regional expansion.
The fact that you see the United States and China playing on the same side on this, at
least sharing interests should indicate how big an expansion can get. I've been
trying to figure out how to say it and the only thing that I've settled on is
if you look to the coverage of Ukraine you will find people over and over again
talking about how it's going to expand it's going to expand it's going to
expand and news breaks about that all the time and almost invariably the next
there's a video from me being like no no it's not and this is why. When it comes
to the current situation in the Middle East it absolutely can. In fact in some
situations if Israel does engage in a full-on large-scale ground offensive not
only can it it's kind of likely. I think that's the the best way to kind of
illustrated. This is very different. We do have some good signs, like the way the
Queen of Jordan is talking. That's a good sign because she's very focused on the
humanitarian issues and not taking a hard stance. You know, there are foreign
ministers out there, but there's a PR thing trying to focus on the human costs.
So far, we haven't seen a whole lot of rhetoric from Iran.
That's good.
But the potential is there and we're talking about it spreading across five countries pretty
quickly.
There's a big potential for it.
And that's why China was at least open to the idea.
I would point out that at time of filming, they haven't agreed to reach out to Iran,
but I imagine they're going to because it is definitely in their interest for it not
to expand.
So that's the reason.
When it comes to foreign policy, it's always about power.
It is always about power.
If you can't find a military power thing, look for the money.
See how the money gets disrupted or helped by the event, and that will most times tell
you which side of something a country will fall on.
Sure, I'm positive that on a deep level, the individual players, they don't want to see
a lot of human loss either. But as far as the country themselves, countries don't care
about people. They care about power. Anyway, it's just a thought. Y'all have a good day.
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