Input | Output |
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Link | Youtube |
Published | 2023/12/01 |
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Status | article incomplete |
Beau says:
The US-Israeli relationship faces strain as Israel's actions in Gaza prompt limited US support and potential disregard for demands, prolonging the conflict.
Diplomatic officials
The emotional impact on civilians in Gaza and the urgent need for international intervention to protect them.
#Israel #US #Diplomacy #InternationalRelations #Conflict
Well, howdy there, internet people.
Let's bow again.
So today, we are going to talk about the situation
as it is developing.
We're going to talk about the US position now
that the status has changed and where things go from here.
A lot of this is stuff that has been said in private
over the last month.
But now these statements are becoming public and they're being, they're a little bit more
forceful when it comes to how diplomacy works.
Okay, so if you have missed the news, the pause has failed.
Fighting has resumed.
Okay, so it does appear that Israel has every intention of moving south.
That appears to be what their plan is.
In a conversation with Secretary of State Blinken, the Israeli officials basically indicated
they felt that they could have it wrapped up in a couple of months, to which it is reported
that Blinken said, you don't have a couple of months.
about how the international pressure is going to build and indicated that they might have
a few weeks.
It seems unlikely that a move south can be accomplished in a few weeks.
Secretary of State also had a number of, I don't want to say demands, things that
the US believes needs to happen. First is that for civilian protection plans to be
put in place and that the operation has to avoid displacement. So basically what
What happened in the North can't be repeated.
And that Israel needs to avoid hitting quote, life critical infrastructure, power, water,
hospitals, stuff like that.
Now all of this is stuff that the US has said and applied pressure in private over.
This is very public.
it's a lot like that tweet. The Secretary of State also indicated once
again and kind of reiterated that Israel needs to take immediate steps, quote, to
hold extremist settlers accountable. During this period, during this
conversation, Netanyahu indicated that there was basically no way, is kind of
the way it came across, that the Palestinian Authority would have power
if he had anything to say about it afterward, to which it appears that
that Blinken got, let's just say, irritated and kind of said, okay, well, give us another
option.
If you want to get rid of an idea, you have to give us something else.
It doesn't appear that another option was presented.
The US-Israeli relationship is becoming more and more strained over this.
bit about you don't have a couple of months, that may be the most important
part. Because when it comes to international pressure, international
pressure is international pressure. It's outrage. It realistically doesn't matter
under most circumstances. Go back to that video, let's talk about the
application of international law. If you have a country that you have a long
relationship with, that is your ally, that has a veto at the UN, well, international
pressure is just noise.
The statement of, you don't have a couple of months, kind of indicates that there is
a limit to how far the US is willing to go.
That's new.
It's been pretty clear that this is going to alter the relationship between Israel and
the United States.
Indicating a limit to support in that way, that's a big step.
That is a big step.
So what happens from here?
Odds are, realistically, Israel is going to ignore most of this.
If I had to guess, they're not going to care.
They are of the opinion that they can actually dismantle this organization, and it appears
that that's going to be the route that they try to go.
Most experts would say that it is incredibly unlikely that, forget a couple of weeks, a
couple of months, even a couple of years, that they would be able to completely
dismantle this organization. That is, that's not the, the goal is not
something that is easily achieved, particularly via the strategy that they
are trying. But that does appear that they are committed to that course of
action, so they will move south. How they plan on doing that without creating
displacement? No clue. Have no idea how that could be done because it is
almost impossible to balance the two things of civilian protection plans and
not having displacement. How you're going to do that in a very confined area with
a whole lot of people.
It seems difficult at best, which is probably going to lead Israel to just completely disregard
everything that the US said, if I had to guess.
It does not appear like we're going to see the end of this anytime soon.
Anyway, it's just a thought, y'all have a good day.
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