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Link | Youtube |
Published | 2023/12/05 |
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Status | article incomplete |
Beau says:
The U.S. sanctions Israeli citizens involved in West Bank violence as a diplomatic warning, signaling gradual pressure without immediate major consequences.
Diplomatic observers, policymakers
Insights on potential reactions from Israel and the implications of diplomatic warnings for future relations.
#US #Israel #DiplomaticRelations #Sanctions #ForeignPolicy
Well, howdy there, internet people, it's Bo again.
So today we are going to talk about the United States
and the most recent diplomatic move that the U.S. has made,
what it means, whether or not it's a big deal,
what it's designed to accomplish, and all of that stuff
because the news is just now coming out
and it's important to get this into context
right away before people either start to celebrate or start to really be upset or
whatever because it's important to understand what this actually means okay
if you miss the news the United States has actually announced this isn't
something that they're saying they're going to do this is something the US is
now doing. It has announced sanctions on Israeli citizens who the US believes
were involved in acts of violence in the West Bank. How many? Don't know. The only
estimation I can get is quote dozens. That could be 24, that could be hundreds.
And we don't have an answer.
What this means is that those people who end up getting named, they will not be able to
come to the United States.
Their family members will, if they are allowed to enter, they will face additional scrutiny
in this process.
That's what it means.
The real question is, what does this mean for foreign policy?
This is a warning.
This is a warning.
Remember, foreign policy moves very, very slowly.
During the pause, the US was very focused on any potential violence in the West Bank
because the US has spent a lot of time in the Middle East right now trying to make sure
things don't escalate. A flashpoint in the West Bank could certainly cause that.
So this is important to the U.S. And during the pause, they they stressed
that Israel needed to deal with this and they needed to be more careful when it
came to the impact on civilians in Gaza. The United States does not believe that
that additional care has been used. So first you have the warning, and then you
have the low-level implementation of it. That's where you're at. This isn't
really designed to do anything other than send a signal to Israel that there
will actually be some kind of implications. Some things will be done.
That's what it's designed to do. I mean don't get me wrong to the people who
actually end up on the list, it's going to be an issue for them, but it's not
widespread. This is a lot like conditioning the cell of the M16s, okay?
Not really a big deal, not really designed to be a major hindrance, but
it's a signal. And from there, now you have people actually in Congress talking
about conditioning aid for real. It's step by step by step. This is pretty
dramatic in the sense that this is probably the most stringent warning that
the United States has sent towards Israel since the 90s, but it's not a huge
development. You are still in the warning phase when it comes to
foreign policy. This isn't widespread, it's not a blanket thing, it doesn't
include economic sanctions, like it's pretty narrowly tailored to be a
warning. Again, the U.S. is in an awkward position and they're trying to exert
pressure but they have to keep the balance where it is. So can you expect
more? Maybe, but probably not a whole lot more. You might start seeing economic
sanctions that are specifically targeted towards individuals. And all of this is
going to get the Israeli government's attention, but how much it exerts
influence? Probably not a lot, because realistically all of this stuff is known
beforehand. Israel knew this was going to happen before today, and since it didn't
alter any behavior, it's probably not being received on that end as something
they need to worry about. I think the only statement you've gotten so far from
Israel is we've always condemned, you know, hooliganism in the West Bank. So it's
It's movement on the diplomatic front, but don't think that this is like a precursor
to severing the relationship between the U.S. and Israel or anything like that.
This is still very much in the warning phase.
Anyway, it's just a thought, y'all have a good day.
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