Input | Output |
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Link | Youtube |
Published | 2024/03/04 |
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Status | article incomplete |
Beau says:
Beau speculates on Vice President Harris's potential ceasefire call, linking it to a pathway for peace in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict based on recent events. It's all a hunch.
Political analysts
Insights into the potential impacts of Vice President Harris's actions on peace efforts in the region.
#VicePresidentHarris #IsraeliPalestinianConflict #PeaceEfforts #Hunch #Ceasefire
Well, howdy there, internet people, it's Beau again.
So today we are going to talk about Vice President Harris,
a hunch, a statement,
what that statement might possibly mean
and just kind of run through some things
because I got a bunch of questions about something
and I don't want people to misread it
and then be disappointed later.
So we're going to go through it.
This is one of the questions.
Okay, you can't do this, you said expect developments, I have a hunch, then hours later she's publicly
calling for a ceasefire.
WTF do you know?
Is this because of the uncommitted voters to do whatever disclaimer you need to, to
tell us the hunch?
And when you mention, quote the other channel, actually say the name, it took me forever
to find it.
Fair enough.
Okay, so a little bit of context on this.
I have another channel, it's called The Roads with Bo.
On Sundays I do like a recap.
And I was talking about how Vice President Harris has this meeting that's going to occur
with an Israeli government official that Netanyahu is super unhappy about.
I believe the reporting is saying that he is, quote, fuming about it.
And I said to expect developments.
Okay, so what does this really mean?
Does it have anything to do with the uncommitted voters?
No, not this time.
This isn't like the aid.
This is something else, I think.
I want to say this over and over again.
This is a hunch.
This is a hunch.
I am 80% sure, but it's a hunch.
Okay, so we have talked for a while about what would be needed to create a long-lasting,
durable piece, right? And those things, it's three ingredients. Multinational
force willing to stand between the two sides, a whole bunch of aid, and a
Palestinian state or a viable pathway to one. Okay, recently the, a lot of the
executive members of the Palestinian Authority resigned and did so so they
could be replaced with new blood. There's a lot of conversation going on
talking about the Palestinian Authority asserting governance over Gaza. Okay, so
you have that. That could be the basis of a Palestinian state or at bare minimum
it could be the Palestinian component to the pathway to a Palestinian state.
Because of recent events, countries all over the world have demonstrated that
they do have an appetite for providing aid and understand it's going to be a
lot of money that's required. But a lot of countries have jumped on. A lot
of countries, meaning a multinational group of countries, that incidentally do happen
to the composition of those countries that are helping, they're the composition that
you would need for a multinational force.
We don't know that some agreement has been reached on that, to be clear, but they might
have that already in their pocket.
The ingredients are coming together.
So the administration, through Harris, publicly calling for a ceasefire, it's not that they
really want a ceasefire.
Most people who call for a ceasefire don't actually want a ceasefire, they want a peace.
are temporary.
My hunch is that they want this ceasefire to try to work out the piece and that they
think that they have the ingredients now.
That's what I think is going on.
And I think that's what brought this about.
And again, 80%, sure.
Normally I would not say this, but there's a whole lot of questions and I don't want
people thinking that this is because of the uncommitted voters and that that's why they're
making this statement and then them be disappointed if it doesn't work.
Because understand, even if that's what's going on, that they are trying to get that
peace deal, there's no guarantee that it would be successful.
it just all of the pieces started falling in place and now they're asking
for it. Again, it's a hunch. The good news about this is that even if that's not it,
all other possibilities that make up the remaining 20%, those are all good too.
It's all good. So I don't want to go into all of those options, but even the options
that aren't part of a long-term peace plan, even those options stand a pretty good chance
chance of it spinning into a lengthy ceasefire, or something that most people, they might
even consider a peace, but it's really not.
That's what I think is going on.
But again, one more time, this is a hunch.
This is what I think is happening, and yes, that things are falling into place, but they
very well may not have, and they may not continue to...hunch, just remember that.
So hopefully what will occur, if the hunch is correct, the meetings are going to happen,
things will...the Israeli government official will head back home, there will probably be
some fireworks over that back there.
There will be a discussion about the current deal.
You get a month-long or six-week ceasefire.
I think she was calling for a six-week one, and during that time there's more talks.
Now those talks may be more private.
That may be one of those things where there's not a lot of public-facing updates.
So if a ceasefire happens and then you don't hear anything about any more discussion, that's
good.
Because I don't know that they would update everybody during long-term peace talks.
But again, that's what I think is going on.
One more time.
It's a hunch.
Anyway, it's just a thought.
So have a good day.
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