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Link | Youtube |
Published | 2024/03/29 |
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Status | article incomplete |
Beau says:
Beau updates on the US plan for Gaza with confirmed components: multinational force, Palestinian state focus, and funding challenges ahead.
Policy stakeholders
Insights on the potential implications of not engaging in groundwork prior to pursuing the plan.
#US #GazaPlan #MultinationalForce #PalestinianState #AidFunding
Well, howdy there, internet people.
It's Beau again.
So today, we are going to talk about the United States
and regional partners and plans and what all that means.
And we're going to talk about something
that we have discussed a number of times on the channel.
However, when we've talked about it before,
it's been in a speculative or theoretical framework.
We've talked about three components that would have to be there for the US to get
what it has been planning and we're talking about after in Gaza, what
they're calling the day after. What does the US need? A multinational force to
stand between the two sides, a Palestinian state or a viable pathway to
one, and dump trucks full of money for aid, for reconstruction. That's what they
need. Out of this, when we've been talking about the speculation, the
theoretical side, we've seen action as far as them moving towards getting a
governing body as far as the revitalized Palestinian state. We've seen reliable
partners talk about reconstruction money. The only thing we haven't seen
publicly is that multinational force. We've heard rumors, we've seen little
bits and pieces but nothing that's really confirmed. That has changed.
administration official, we are working with partners on various scenarios for
interim governance and security structures in Gaza once the crisis
recedes." Quote. The indications are that they had been working with regional
partners, plural. One of the things about the multinational force, if it was going
have any chance at all. It would need Arab nations. It would need troops from countries
that the Palestinians trust. It would also not need the U.S. The U.S. doesn't need to
be there. So you would need troops that the Israelis trust, countries that would be willing
to supply those troops. You would need troops that the Palestinians would trust and countries
willing to supply those. Regional partners, plural, they have the ones that the Palestinians
will trust. The other interesting thing about it is that according to the reporting, it
seems as though the countries that are willing to supply troops, they will only do it if
there is a commitment to a two-state solution.
The U.S. commentary says that there will be no boots on the ground, no American boots
on the ground.
That's just out of the question.
That's good.
I mean, it seems, coming from the administration, it seems like they don't want to commit troops
because they don't want to put troops in harm's way.
They shouldn't commit troops because the U.S. doesn't need to be there.
not a good idea for other reasons. They also indicated that they were discussing
various quote plans. So what we have here is confirmation. Those three
components, what we have been talking about for months, that absolutely is the
administration's plan. When the quote crisis recedes, that's a unique way of
saying that, that's what the US is going to be pushing for. They're going to be
pushing for a Palestinian state. Now the obvious question, are they going to be
successful. I give them 50-50 odds, to be honest. I give them 50-50 odds. A big part
of it is going to be whether or not the money, the aid, can get through Congress.
As far as whether or not they're going to be able to pursue this, that's going to
be a big hang-up. Whether or not Republicans in the House are still as
dysfunctional as they are because this is going to have a big price tag. It's
going to have a big one and there are other countries that would certainly
contribute but I feel like the US is going to end up shouldering a pretty big
chunk of this. So it is no longer speculation. It is no longer theoretical.
That's what the administration is going to try to do. All of the pieces now have
been publicly confirmed, just not all at one time. There was the indication that
they really haven't talked to the Israelis about this. That could mean a
number of things. It could mean that they understand that the Israelis are not
going to signal or even remotely entertain the day after in Reconstruction
until they feel that they have completed their military objectives or however
they're going to say it. Or it could mean that they are hoping that perhaps new
management might be more agreeable, and they would wait until after to pursue
this option and talk about it with hypothetically a new government. The
problem with that is something else we've talked about. Oh my moments. When
you're talking about cyclical violence every once in a while, the situation gets
It's so horrible that peace becomes a possibility.
Those moments occur, but that window of time, it's pretty short.
If they aren't willing to lay out the groundwork prior, maybe one in three, chance of it working.
But this seemed significant enough to talk about because now you have all of the components
having been discussed.
have administration officials saying yes we are actually talking to regional
partners about putting in a multinational force. It's all there that's
their plan. We'll wait and see how it plays out. Anyway it's just a thought
Y'all have a good day.
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